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1995 Ontario general election

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1995 Ontario general election
← 1990 June 8, 1995 1999 →
130 seats in the 36th Legislative Assembly of Ontario
66 seats needed for a majority
Turnout63.00% (Decrease1.45pp)[1]
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Mike Harris Lyn McLeod Bob Rae
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since May 12, 1990 February 9, 1992 February 7, 1982
Leader's seat Nipissing Fort William York South
Last election 20 36 74
Seats won 82 30 17
Seat change Increase62 Decrease6 Decrease57
Popular vote 1,870,110 1,291,326 854,163
Percentage 44.8% 31.1% 20.6%
Swing Increase21.3pp Decrease1.3pp Decrease17.0pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Click the map for more details.
Premier before election

Bob Rae
New Democratic

Premier after election

Mike Harris
Progressive Conservative

The 1995 Ontario general election was held on June 8, 1995, to elect members of the 36th Legislative Assembly of the province of Ontario, Canada. The writs for the election were drawn up on April 28, 1995.

The governing New Democratic Party, led by Premier Bob Rae, was defeated by voters, who were angry with the actions of the Rae government, such as its unpopular hiring quotas and the Social Contract legislation in 1993.[2] These policies caused the NDP to lose much of its base in organized labour, further reducing support for the party. At the 1993 federal election, the NDP tumbled to less than seven percent support, and lost all 11 of its federal seats in Ontario. By the time the writs were drawn up for the 1995 provincial election, it was obvious that the NDP would not be reelected.

Riding name change

[edit]

Acts were passed in 1991 and 1993, providing for the following name changes to ridings:

Campaign

[edit]

The Liberal Party under Lyn McLeod had been leading in the polls for most of the period from 1992 to 1995, and were generally favoured to benefit from the swing in support away from the NDP. However, the party hurt its credibility through a series of high-profile policy reversals in the period leading up to the election. The most notable of these occurred when McLeod withdrew Liberal support from the Equality Rights Statute Amendment Act (Bill 167) introduced by the NDP government in 1994, which would have provided same-sex couples with rights and obligations mostly equal to those of opposite-sex common law couples and introduced a form of civil unions. Her decision was seen as cynical and opportunistic in light of the Liberals' earlier rural by-election loss in the socially conservative riding of Victoria—Haliburton. This gave the McLeod Liberals a reputation for "flip-flopping" and inconsistency while offending its socially progressive supporters.

The Progressive Conservative Party, led by Mike Harris, found success with its Common Sense Revolution campaign to cut personal income taxes, social assistance (welfare) rates, and government spending dramatically. Roughly half of his party's seats came from the more affluent regions of the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), especially the suburban belt surrounding Metro Toronto, often called the '905' for its telephone area code.

In addition, by presenting himself as a populist, representing "ordinary Ontarians" over "special interests", Harris was able to build Tory support among working-class voters. Although there were regional variations, many working-class voters shifted directly from the NDP to the Tories during the election, enabling the latter to win formerly NDP ridings such as Cambridge and Oshawa.

The televised party leaders' debate is often regarded as the turning point of the campaign. During the event, McLeod further alienated many voters with an overly aggressive performance. Harris used his time to speak directly to the camera to convey his party's Common Sense Revolution platform, virtually ignoring all questions asked of him by Rae and McLeod and avoiding getting caught up in their debate. Since Liberal support was regarded by many political insiders as soft and unsteady, many voters who were previously leaning to the Liberals shifted to the Progressive Conservatives after the debate.

Opinion polls

[edit]
Evolution of voting intentions at provincial level
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source PCO OLP ONDP Other ME Sample
Election 1995 June 8, 1995 44.8 31.1 20.6 3.5
Gallup June 4, 1995 [6] 42 35 20 — 3.1 —
Angus Reid May 1995 [7] 44 34 20 — 3.2 1,000
Angus Reid May 1995 [7] 41 36 21 — 3.2 1,000
May 24, 1995 [8] 37 33 ~25 — — 400
Compas May 1995 [9] 36 40 21 — 4.5 507
Environics May 1995 [10] 26 52 17 — 3 —
Election called (April 28, 1995)[11]

During the 35th Parliament of Ontario

[edit]
Evolution of voting intentions at provincial level
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source PCO OLP ONDP Other ME Sample
Angus Reid April 1995 [11] 28 46 21 — — —
Comquest Research March 1995 [12] 30 34 36 — — —
Angus Reid January 1995 [13] 27 45 20 9 4.5 1,007
Environics June 25, 1992 [14] 28 42 25 — 3.2 1,000
Environics March 1992 [14] 28 43 23 — — —
Environics June 1991 [15] 23 36 34 — — —
Environics December 30, 1990 [16] 15 24 58 — 3.2 1,030
Environics October 1990 [17] 18 27 51 — 3.2 1,007
Election 1990 September 6, 1990 23.5 32.4 37.6 6.5

Results

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Summary

[edit]
See also: Results of the 1995 Ontario general election by riding
The Ontario Legislature after the 1995 election.

The Progressive Conservatives won a majority while the Liberals finished with less support than they had in the 1990 election. The NDP, despite improving their standing in some Northern Ontario ridings, were heavily defeated, falling to 17 seats and third party status. The New Democrats would remain the third party until 2018 when they returned to Official Opposition status. McLeod and Rae resigned their party leadership posts not long after the campaign. It was also the worst result for an incumbent Ontario governing party up to that time and would remain so until 2018 when the NDP finally surpassed the then-governing Liberals.

One independent candidate was elected: Peter North in the riding of Elgin. North had been elected in 1990 as a New Democrat, but left the NDP and declared his intention to run as a Progressive Conservative. The PC Party did not accept him as a candidate, however.

At least five unregistered parties fielded candidates in this election, appearing on the ballot as independents:

Overall

[edit]
Elections to the 36th Parliament of Ontario (1995)[1]
Political party Party leader MPPs Votes
Candidates 1990 1995 ± # ± % ± (pp)
Progressive Conservative Mike Harris 130 20 82 62Increase 1,870,110 925,546Increase 44.97% 21.46Increase
Liberal Lyn McLeod 130 36 30 6Decrease 1,291,326 10,808Decrease 31.05% 1.35Decrease
New Democratic Bob Rae 130 74 17 57Decrease 854,163 655,343Decrease 20.54% 17.03Decrease
Independent 60 – 1 1Increase 33,077 19,770Increase 0.80% 0.46Increase
Family Coalition Donald Pennell 55 – – – 61,657 49,174Decrease 1.48% 1.28Decrease
Natural Law Ron Parker 68 – – – 18,326 18,326Increase 0.44% New
Green Frank de Jong 37 – – – 14,108 15,989Decrease 0.34% 0.41Decrease
Libertarian John Shadbolt 18 – – – 6,085 (18,528Decrease 0.15% 0.47Decrease
Freedom Jack Plant 12 – – – 4,532 1,483Decrease 0.11% 0.04Decrease
Confederation of Regions 6 – – – 3,971 71,902Decrease 0.10% 1.79Decrease
Communist Darrell Rankin 5 – – – 1,015 124Decrease 0.02% –
Total 651 130 130 4,158,370 100.00%
Rejected ballots 42,152 10,423Decrease
Voter turnout 4,200,522 129,868Increase 63.00 1.45Decrease
Registered electors 6,667,798 351,849Increase
Seats and popular vote by party
Party Seats Votes Change (pp)
█ Progressive Conservative
82 / 130
44.97%
 21.46 21.46
 
█ Liberal
30 / 130
31.05%
 -1.35
 
█ New Democratic
17 / 130
20.54%
 -17.03
 
█ Independent
1 / 130
0.80%
 0.46 0.46
 
█ Family Coalition
0 / 130
1.48%
 -1.28
 
█ Confederation of Regions
0 / 130
0.10%
 -1.79
 
█ Other
0 / 130
1.06%
 -0.47
 

Synopsis of results

[edit]
Main article: Results of the 1995 Ontario general election by riding
Results by riding - 1995 Ontario general election[1]
Riding Winning party Turnout
[a 1] 		Votes[a 2]
Name[a 3][a 4] 1990 1st
place 		Votes Share Margin
# 		Margin
% 		2nd
place 		3rd
place 		PC Lib NDP FCP Ind Other Total
 
Algoma NDP NDP 6,190 44.47% 1,588 11.41% PC Lib 64.02% 4,602 3,128 6,190 – – – 13,920
Algoma—Manitoulin Lib Lib 7,238 46.96% 2,054 13.33% PC NDP 59.33% 5,184 7,238 2,991 – – – 15,413
Beaches—Woodbine NDP NDP 10,862 42.44% 2,939 11.48% PC Lib 67.14% 7,923 6,158 10,862 – 319 331 25,593
Brampton North Lib PC 20,148 49.47% 5,348 13.13% Lib NDP 59.17% 20,148 14,800 5,288 – – 494 40,730
Brampton South Lib PC 21,859 49.67% 6,622 15.05% Lib NDP 59.78% 21,859 15,237 5,676 1,011 – 229 44,012
Brantford NDP PC 13,745 41.01% 3,327 9.93% Lib NDP 59.90% 13,745 10,418 8,165 762 – 430 33,520
Brant—Haldimand Lib PC 14,184 47.81% 3,595 12.12% Lib NDP 61.67% 14,184 10,589 3,030 1,340 – 527 29,670
Bruce Lib PC 13,680 42.70% 2,676 8.35% Lib NDP 69.34% 13,680 11,004 4,269 2,787 – 296 32,036
Burlington South PC PC 24,831 72.56% 19,416 56.73% Lib NDP 69.20% 24,831 5,415 3,507 470 – – 34,223
Cambridge NDP PC 17,269 46.93% 5,472 14.87% NDP Lib 59.56% 17,269 5,606 11,797 1,690 433 – 36,795
Carleton PC PC 28,349 64.96% 18,606 42.64% Lib NDP 62.05% 28,349 9,743 4,046 942 – 558 43,638
Carleton East Lib Lib 17,780 48.19% 4,209 11.41% PC NDP 60.34% 13,571 17,780 4,783 – – 758 36,892
Chatham—Kent NDP PC 10,461 36.29% 546 1.89% Lib NDP 58.54% 10,461 9,915 7,444 1,008 – – 28,828
Cochrane North NDP NDP 6,935 45.62% 1,983 13.04% Lib PC 58.96% 3,316 4,952 6,935 – – – 15,203
Cochrane South NDP NDP 12,114 52.45% 5,527 23.93% PC Lib 60.36% 6,587 4,058 12,114 – 339 – 23,098
Cornwall Lib Lib 14,507 59.70% 6,669 27.44% PC NDP 55.53% 7,838 14,507 1,719 – – 236 24,300
Don Mills NDP PC 14,897 53.36% 7,290 26.11% Lib NDP 66.09% 14,897 7,607 4,569 – 362 484 27,919
Dovercourt NDP NDP 9,049 47.23% 3,488 18.20% Lib PC 63.22% 3,560 5,561 9,049 – 261 730 19,161
Downsview NDP Lib 9,142 39.48% 360 1.55% NDP PC 63.90% 4,444 9,142 8,782 – 572 217 23,157
Dufferin—Peel PC PC 23,239 66.00% 14,738 41.86% Lib NDP 65.37% 23,239 8,501 3,470 – – – 35,210
Durham Centre NDP PC 25,107 58.34% 15,299 35.55% Lib NDP 65.02% 25,107 9,808 8,120 – – – 43,035
Durham East NDP PC 24,303 61.79% 15,784 40.13% NDP Lib 63.79% 24,303 6,512 8,519 – – – 39,334
Durham West NDP PC 29,232 54.58% 15,258 28.49% Lib NDP 63.83% 29,232 13,974 9,444 – 904 – 53,554
Durham—York NDP PC 25,018 60.40% 16,970 40.97% NDP Lib 63.45% 25,018 7,512 8,048 845 – – 41,423
Eglinton Lib PC 17,496 48.82% 4,592 12.81% Lib NDP 73.65% 17,496 12,904 4,597 – 123 720 35,840
Elgin NDP Ind 12,436 37.79% 1,776 5.40% PC Lib 61.17% 10,660 5,801 3,445 – 12,436 565 32,907
Essex-Kent NDP Lib 10,130 37.01% 1,746 6.38% PC NDP 58.85% 8,384 10,130 7,837 1,022 – – 27,373
Essex South Lib Lib 14,513 54.48% 8,783 32.97% PC NDP 50.91% 5,730 14,513 4,348 1,550 – 498 26,639
Etobicoke—Humber Lib PC 18,128 51.26% 4,494 12.71% Lib NDP 73.35% 18,128 13,634 3,100 – 308 196 35,366
Etobicoke—Lakeshore NDP PC 14,879 45.23% 5,805 17.65% Lib NDP 66.55% 14,879 9,074 8,279 – 186 479 32,897
Etobicoke—Rexdale NDP PC 9,521 36.57% 853 3.28% NDP Lib 59.51% 9,521 7,173 8,668 – 488 188 26,038
Etobicoke West PC PC 18,349 55.30% 8,523 25.69% Lib NDP 70.68% 18,349 9,826 4,608 – – 399 33,182
Fort William Lib Lib 15,681 57.32% 8,565 31.31% PC NDP 63.29% 7,116 15,681 4,561 – – – 27,358
Fort York NDP NDP 10,762 41.02% 2,280 8.69% Lib PC 64.86% 6,025 8,482 10,762 – 269 699 26,237
Frontenac—Addington NDP PC 12,211 38.52% 1,962 6.19% Lib NDP 62.52% 12,211 10,249 7,302 1,404 416 121 31,703
Grey—Owen Sound PC PC 25,138 63.21% 16,876 42.44% Lib NDP 65.58% 25,138 8,262 3,413 2,082 703 170 39,768
Guelph NDP PC 17,204 42.55% 5,745 14.21% Lib NDP 66.31% 17,204 11,459 10,278 1,035 187 265 40,428
Halton Centre Lib PC 30,621 61.41% 16,644 33.38% Lib NDP 69.06% 30,621 13,977 5,268 – – – 49,866
Halton North NDP PC 19,247 60.90% 12,679 40.12% Lib NDP 66.58% 19,247 6,568 4,362 1,239 – 187 31,603
Hamilton Centre NDP NDP 8,012 36.81% 690 3.17% Lib PC 54.71% 5,723 7,322 8,012 376 – 331 21,764
Hamilton East NDP Lib 11,088 43.55% 4,046 15.89% NDP PC 57.85% 6,263 11,088 7,042 681 – 389 25,463
Hamilton Mountain NDP PC 13,852 36.60% 1,028 2.72% Lib NDP 64.41% 13,852 12,824 9,837 1,329 – – 37,842
Hamilton West NDP PC 13,301 40.54% 4,034 12.29% NDP Lib 67.00% 13,301 8,911 9,267 880 – 453 32,812
Hastings—Peterborough NDP PC 16,187 54.17% 7,859 26.30% NDP Lib 67.44% 16,187 4,056 8,328 1,002 – 308 29,881
High Park—Swansea NDP PC 10,559 38.77% 1,660 6.10% NDP Lib 70.36% 10,559 7,121 8,899 – – 654 27,233
Huron NDP PC 13,343 46.16% 6,334 21.91% Lib NDP 70.00% 13,343 7,009 6,927 1,418 207 – 28,904
Kenora Lib Lib 9,152 53.72% 4,055 23.80% PC NDP 52.02% 5,097 9,152 2,788 – – – 17,037
Kingston and the Islands NDP Lib 10,314 36.90% 1,743 6.24% PC NDP 61.08% 8,571 10,314 8,052 858 – 155 27,950
Kitchener NDP PC 13,374 40.15% 3,382 10.15% Lib NDP 60.12% 13,374 9,992 6,998 2,111 835 – 33,310
Kitchener—Wilmot NDP PC 17,392 45.70% 7,286 19.14% Lib NDP 59.07% 17,392 10,106 8,146 2,415 – – 38,059
Lake Nipigon NDP NDP 5,079 42.99% 1,616 13.68% Lib PC 54.99% 3,273 3,463 5,079 – – – 11,815
Lambton NDP PC 12,034 43.58% 4,109 14.88% Lib NDP 64.70% 12,034 7,925 5,055 2,184 – 417 27,615
Lanark—Renfrew PC PC 19,959 55.79% 10,003 27.96% Lib NDP 59.87% 19,959 9,956 3,455 745 557 1,104 35,776
Lawrence Lib Lib 11,784 45.88% 3,829 14.91% PC NDP 65.08% 7,955 11,784 5,000 – – 944 25,683
Leeds—Grenville PC PC 21,763 63.27% 12,808 37.23% Lib NDP 63.06% 21,763 8,955 2,316 – 438 927 34,399
Lincoln NDP PC 18,709 50.68% 7,833 21.22% Lib NDP 68.09% 18,709 10,876 5,800 1,241 – 288 36,914
London Centre NDP NDP 11,096 36.77% 1,732 5.74% PC Lib 53.26% 9,364 7,559 11,096 1,041 – 1,119 30,179
London North PC PC 23,195 52.65% 12,083 27.43% Lib NDP 64.73% 23,195 11,112 8,167 777 – 800 44,051
London South NDP PC 18,161 44.35% 7,432 18.15% NDP Lib 61.88% 18,161 10,693 10,729 387 323 653 40,946
Markham PC PC 37,314 64.81% 26,544 46.10% Lib NDP 62.80% 37,314 10,770 7,779 1,088 – 626 57,577
Middlesex NDP PC 15,684 40.35% 5,236 13.47% Lib NDP 64.67% 15,684 10,448 8,799 3,481 – 458 38,870
Mississauga East Lib PC 16,468 52.07% 6,429 20.33% Lib NDP 60.38% 16,468 10,039 5,120 – – – 31,627
Mississauga North Lib PC 22,095 47.76% 4,414 9.54% Lib NDP 57.37% 22,095 17,681 5,283 – – 1,206 46,265
Mississauga South PC PC 23,116 69.76% 17,565 53.01% Lib NDP 65.39% 23,116 5,551 3,282 – 596 590 33,135
Mississauga West Lib PC 26,614 46.21% 3,339 5.80% Lib NDP 60.33% 26,614 23,275 6,758 – – 952 57,599
Muskoka—Georgian Bay NDP PC 17,864 51.79% 9,769 28.32% Lib NDP 65.50% 17,864 8,095 7,742 – 381 411 34,493
Nepean Lib PC 17,510 49.66% 3,935 11.16% Lib NDP 64.97% 17,510 13,575 3,274 – – 901 35,260
Niagara Falls NDP PC 12,132 43.33% 3,843 13.73% Lib NDP 59.48% 12,132 8,289 7,034 – 189 355 27,999
Niagara South NDP PC 8,815 38.24% 1,181 5.12% Lib NDP 60.14% 8,815 7,634 5,376 536 688 – 23,049
Nickel Belt NDP NDP 8,007 46.54% 2,458 14.29% Lib PC 64.70% 3,305 5,549 8,007 – 225 119 17,205
Nipissing PC PC 18,722 60.48% 10,837 35.01% Lib NDP 63.68% 18,722 7,885 4,350 – – – 30,957
Norfolk NDP PC 17,335 48.68% 7,922 22.24% Lib NDP 64.14% 17,335 9,413 7,893 972 – – 35,613
Northumberland Lib PC 19,359 52.14% 6,126 16.50% Lib NDP 67.13% 19,359 13,233 4,539 – – – 37,131
Oakville South PC PC 21,689 63.34% 13,210 38.58% Lib NDP 71.08% 21,689 8,479 2,973 1,103 – – 34,244
Oakwood NDP Lib 8,599 42.31% 975 4.80% NDP PC 65.74% 3,298 8,599 7,624 – 301 504 20,326
Oriole Lib Lib 11,164 43.70% 1,034 4.05% PC NDP 68.39% 10,130 11,164 3,665 – 243 342 25,544
Oshawa NDP PC 16,793 54.33% 8,343 26.99% NDP Lib 57.66% 16,793 5,666 8,450 – – – 30,909
Ottawa Centre NDP Lib 11,150 39.26% 1,712 6.03% NDP PC 63.88% 6,715 11,150 9,438 – 173 924 28,400
Ottawa East Lib Lib 14,436 56.94% 9,068 35.77% PC NDP 53.21% 5,368 14,436 4,818 – 136 596 25,354
Ottawa—Rideau Lib PC 14,796 45.11% 1,523 4.64% Lib NDP 61.29% 14,796 13,273 4,138 – – 590 32,797
Ottawa South Lib Lib 15,418 53.35% 6,800 23.53% PC NDP 66.51% 8,618 15,418 4,235 – – 628 28,899
Ottawa West Lib Lib 14,516 45.48% 1,618 5.07% PC NDP 64.43% 12,898 14,516 3,718 – 241 544 31,917
Oxford NDP PC 17,568 49.48% 8,067 22.72% NDP Lib 64.02% 17,568 6,564 9,501 1,061 – 809 35,503
Parkdale Lib Lib 8,435 47.87% 2,640 14.98% NDP PC 64.03% 2,887 8,435 5,795 – – 505 17,622
Parry Sound PC PC 15,523 65.47% 10,702 45.14% Lib NDP 63.57% 15,523 4,821 3,367 – – – 23,711
Perth NDP PC 13,735 44.81% 5,290 17.26% NDP Lib 62.90% 13,735 7,722 8,445 – 326 427 30,655
Peterborough NDP PC 22,735 52.66% 12,409 28.74% Lib NDP 66.23% 22,735 10,326 7,581 2,064 – 464 43,170
Port Arthur NDP Lib 14,281 48.92% 6,791 23.26% NDP PC 61.91% 6,554 14,281 7,490 683 182 – 29,190
Prescott and Russell Lib Lib 24,808 55.68% 11,171 25.07% PC NDP 56.64% 13,637 24,808 4,472 – 564 1,072 44,553
Prince Edward—Lennox—South Hastings NDP PC 14,144 49.61% 6,346 22.26% Lib NDP 60.04% 14,144 7,798 5,996 – – 571 28,509
Quinte Lib PC 13,961 47.28% 2,135 7.23% Lib NDP 58.79% 13,961 11,826 3,743 – – – 29,530
Rainy River NDP NDP 4,912 39.93% 205 1.67% PC Lib 63.98% 4,707 2,683 4,912 – – – 12,302
Renfrew North Lib Lib 16,044 53.32% 6,363 21.15% PC NDP 61.00% 9,681 16,044 2,483 1,695 – 187 30,090
Riverdale NDP NDP 10,948 46.88% 4,600 19.70% PC Lib 64.66% 6,348 5,443 10,948 – 273 341 23,353
St. Andrew—St. Patrick NDP PC 13,092 40.43% 3,679 11.36% Lib NDP 67.16% 13,092 9,413 9,231 – – 649 32,385
St. Catharines Lib Lib 13,761 46.53% 2,275 7.69% PC NDP 64.58% 11,486 13,761 3,929 245 – 153 29,574
St. Catharines—Brock NDP PC 11,976 47.02% 4,603 18.07% Lib NDP 62.56% 11,976 7,373 5,521 598 – – 25,468
St. George—St. David Lib PC 10,662 33.87% 337 1.07% Lib NDP 70.61% 10,662 10,325 9,672 – 424 392 31,475
Sarnia NDP PC 9,260 33.81% 634 2.31% Lib NDP 61.31% 9,260 8,626 7,487 1,642 376 – 27,391
Sault Ste. Marie NDP NDP 15,392 43.33% 3,720 10.47% Lib PC 62.24% 7,699 11,672 15,392 – – 757 35,520
Scarborough—Agincourt Lib Lib 13,472 46.08% 2,135 7.30% PC NDP 61.37% 11,337 13,472 4,112 – – 313 29,234
Scarborough Centre NDP PC 12,717 45.88% 5,554 20.04% Lib NDP 63.35% 12,717 7,163 6,841 – 649 349 27,719
Scarborough East NDP PC 19,166 55.72% 11,954 34.75% NDP Lib 64.69% 19,166 7,197 7,212 – 270 553 34,398
Scarborough—Ellesmere NDP PC 13,282 47.89% 5,376 19.38% NDP Lib 64.95% 13,282 5,602 7,906 – – 947 27,737
Scarborough North Lib Lib 15,507 46.08% 4,999 14.85% PC NDP 58.67% 10,508 15,507 6,431 369 – 840 33,655
Scarborough West NDP PC 11,773 43.13% 2,557 9.37% NDP Lib 64.33% 11,773 5,326 9,216 – 254 730 27,299
Simcoe Centre NDP PC 29,790 58.25% 17,729 34.67% Lib NDP 63.06% 29,790 12,061 7,655 769 284 580 51,139
Simcoe East PC PC 23,489 60.97% 14,445 37.50% Lib NDP 66.52% 23,489 9,044 4,849 – 876 266 38,524
Simcoe West PC PC 24,346 68.24% 18,847 52.83% Lib NDP 63.01% 24,346 5,499 4,937 894 – – 35,676
S-D-G & East Grenville PC PC 18,884 64.69% 11,290 38.68% Lib NDP 62.48% 18,884 7,594 2,285 – – 428 29,191
Sudbury NDP Lib 12,349 40.66% 3,651 12.02% NDP PC 62.10% 8,093 12,349 8,698 – 629 605 30,374
Sudbury East NDP NDP 11,236 37.09% 1,642 5.42% Lib PC 62.30% 8,680 9,594 11,236 – 473 310 30,293
Timiskaming Lib Lib 8,643 46.78% 2,458 13.30% PC NDP 64.13% 6,185 8,643 2,962 – – 685 18,475
Victoria—Haliburton NDP PC 25,267 68.42% 18,987 51.41% Lib NDP 66.16% 25,267 6,280 4,210 378 643 151 36,929
Waterloo North PC PC 25,757 59.42% 17,028 39.29% Lib NDP 62.32% 25,757 8,729 6,869 1,714 – 275 43,344
Welland-Thorold NDP NDP 12,848 42.71% 4,218 14.02% Lib PC 65.22% 8,089 8,630 12,848 – – 517 30,084
Wellington PC PC 21,753 66.70% 16,047 49.20% Lib NDP 65.00% 21,753 5,706 4,104 782 – 269 32,614
Wentworth East NDP PC 15,888 44.50% 3,606 10.10% Lib NDP 64.56% 15,888 12,282 6,667 – 863 – 35,700
Wentworth North NDP PC 21,165 55.65% 10,772 28.32% Lib NDP 70.97% 21,165 10,393 6,474 – – – 38,032
Willowdale PC PC 18,834 53.99% 8,964 25.70% Lib NDP 68.94% 18,834 9,870 4,825 – 715 639 34,883
Wilson Heights Lib Lib 12,468 44.64% 2,696 9.65% PC NDP 62.76% 9,772 12,468 4,612 231 109 741 27,933
Windsor—Riverside NDP NDP 12,347 45.70% 2,935 10.86% Lib PC 54.02% 4,440 9,412 12,347 459 – 362 27,020
Windsor—Sandwich NDP Lib 11,940 47.12% 5,526 21.81% NDP PC 50.11% 5,704 11,940 6,414 610 410 263 25,341
Windsor—Walkerville NDP Lib 10,281 41.28% 380 1.53% NDP PC 52.54% 3,610 10,281 9,901 957 – 156 24,905
York Centre Lib PC 37,897 48.94% 8,747 11.30% Lib NDP 60.80% 37,897 29,150 6,698 1,891 – 1,792 77,428
York East NDP PC 12,789 41.65% 3,263 10.63% NDP Lib 69.59% 12,789 7,398 9,526 – 748 243 30,704
York Mills PC PC 18,852 63.58% 11,534 38.90% Lib NDP 69.31% 18,852 7,318 2,930 – – 553 29,653
York—Mackenzie Lib PC 25,904 58.33% 11,931 26.86% Lib NDP 67.21% 25,904 13,973 3,611 498 – 425 44,411
York South NDP NDP 10,442 41.24% 2,716 10.73% PC Lib 69.13% 7,726 6,025 10,442 305 170 653 25,321
Yorkview NDP Lib 9,245 46.97% 2,798 14.22% NDP PC 60.99% 3,989 9,245 6,447 – – – 19,681
  1. ^ including spoilt ballots
  2. ^ minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
  3. ^ order is as given in EO reports
  4. ^ Names are as specified in 1976 Act plus 1990 amendment - EO file has errors
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = winning candidate was in previous Legislature
  = not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature
  = incumbent had switched allegiance
  = incumbency arose from byelection gain
  = previously incumbent in another riding
  = other incumbents renominated
  = previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada
  = multiple candidates

Comparative analysis for ridings (1995 vs 1990)

[edit]
Summary of riding results by turnout and vote share for winning candidate (vs 1990)[a 1]
Riding and winning party Turnout Vote share
% Change (pp) % Change (pp)
 
Algoma NDP Hold 64.02 -1.60
 
 44.47 -14.18
 
Algoma—Manitoulin Lib Hold 59.33 -1.92
 
 46.96 8.10 8.1
 
Beaches—Woodbine NDP Hold 67.14 1.19 1.19
 
 42.44 -15.91
 
Brampton North PC Gain 59.17 0.82 0.82
 
 49.47 26.70 26.7
 
Brampton South PC Gain 59.78 0.43 0.43
 
 49.67 21.17 21.17
 
Brantford PC Gain 59.90 -6.81
 
 41.01 32.54 32.54
 
Brant—Haldimand PC Gain 61.67 0.49 0.49
 
 47.81 26.17 26.17
 
Bruce PC Gain 69.34 0.42 0.42
 
 42.70 18.55 18.55
 
Burlington South PC Hold 69.20 -0.28
 
 72.56 20.02 20.02
 
Cambridge PC Gain 59.56 -5.28
 
 46.93 34.63 34.63
 
Carleton PC Hold 62.05 -3.10
 
 64.96 18.06 18.06
 
Carleton East Lib Hold 60.34 -3.18
 
 48.19 -5.68
 
Chatham—Kent PC Gain 58.54 -4.47
 
 36.29 18.24 18.24
 
Cochrane North NDP Hold 58.96 -3.21
 
 45.62 5.15 5.15
 
Cochrane South NDP Hold 60.36 -2.59
 
 52.45 4.83 4.83
 
Cornwall Lib Hold 55.53 -8.26
 
 59.70 13.17 13.17
 
Don Mills PC Gain 66.09 1.85 1.85
 
 53.36 26.57 26.57
 
Dovercourt NDP Hold 63.22 -3.04
 
 47.23 -7.02
 
Downsview Lib Gain 63.90 -2.18
 
 39.48 4.88 4.88
 
Dufferin—Peel PC Hold 65.37 -1.20
 
 66.00 31.34 31.34
 
Durham Centre PC Gain 65.02 3.79 3.79
 
 58.34 32.34 32.34
 
Durham East PC Gain 63.79 0.36 0.36
 
 61.79 29.20 29.2
 
Durham West PC Gain 63.83 1.47 1.47
 
 54.58 29.02 29.02
 
Durham—York PC Gain 63.45 1.55 1.55
 
 60.40 30.34 30.34
 
Eglinton PC Gain 73.65 3.67 3.67
 
 48.82 13.37 13.37
 
Elgin Ind Gain 61.17 -5.34
 
 37.79 New
Essex-Kent Lib Gain 58.85 -8.67
 
 37.01 3.91 3.91
 
Essex South Lib Hold 50.91 -8.49
 
 54.48 18.46 18.46
 
Etobicoke—Humber PC Gain 73.35 3.05 3.05
 
 51.26 24.85 24.85
 
Etobicoke—Lakeshore PC Gain 66.55 0.40 0.4
 
 45.23 29.90 29.9
 
Etobicoke—Rexdale PC Gain 59.51 -1.91
 
 36.57 24.22 24.22
 
Etobicoke West PC Hold 70.68 0.81 0.81
 
 55.30 14.74 14.74
 
Fort William Lib Hold 63.29 0.55 0.55
 
 57.32 12.88 12.88
 
Fort York NDP Hold 64.86 1.38 1.38
 
 41.02 -5.29
 
Frontenac—Addington PC Gain 62.52 -2.63
 
 38.52 10.37 10.37
 
Grey—Owen Sound PC Hold 65.58 0.38 0.38
 
 63.21 27.10 27.1
 
Guelph PC Gain 66.31 -3.17
 
 42.55 16.90 16.9
 
Halton Centre PC Gain 69.06 5.94 5.94
 
 61.41 29.53 29.53
 
Halton North PC Gain 66.58 2.08 2.08
 
 60.90 33.64 33.64
 
Hamilton Centre NDP Hold 54.71 -5.07
 
 36.81 -18.51
 
Hamilton East Lib Gain 57.85 -3.85
 
 43.55 24.05 24.05
 
Hamilton Mountain PC Gain 64.41 -2.14
 
 36.60 16.12 16.12
 
Hamilton West PC Gain 67.00 -0.90
 
 40.54 27.23 27.23
 
Hastings—Peterborough PC Gain 67.44 -1.32
 
 54.17 17.45 17.45
 
High Park—Swansea PC Gain 70.36 5.54 5.54
 
 38.77 20.33 20.33
 
Huron PC Gain 70.00 -1.47
 
 46.16 14.98 14.98
 
Kenora Lib Hold 52.02 -9.66
 
 53.72 13.17 13.17
 
Kingston and the Islands Lib Gain 61.08 4.09 4.09
 
 36.90 6.72 6.72
 
Kitchener PC Gain 60.12 -2.78
 
 40.15 21.85 21.85
 
Kitchener—Wilmot PC Gain 59.07 -1.02
 
 45.70 25.60 25.6
 
Lake Nipigon NDP Hold 54.99 -5.00
 
 42.99 -22.21
 
Lambton PC Gain 64.70 -3.47
 
 43.58 15.88 15.88
 
Lanark—Renfrew PC Hold 59.87 -0.51
 
 55.79 23.31 23.31
 
Lawrence Lib Hold 65.08 -0.60
 
 45.88 1.18 1.18
 
Leeds—Grenville PC Hold 63.06 -3.12
 
 63.27 14.20 14.2
 
Lincoln PC Gain 68.09 0.02 0.02
 
 50.68 23.13 23.13
 
London Centre NDP Hold 53.26 -12.79
 
 36.77 -14.54
 
London North PC Hold 64.73 -3.07
 
 52.65 11.35 11.35
 
London South PC Gain 61.88 -3.73
 
 44.35 20.45 20.45
 
Markham PC Hold 62.80 -1.60
 
 64.81 14.84 14.84
 
Middlesex PC Gain 64.67 -4.14
 
 40.35 17.01 17.01
 
Mississauga East PC Gain 60.38 -1.24
 
 52.07 25.92 25.92
 
Mississauga North PC Gain 57.37 -0.40
 
 47.76 23.87 23.87
 
Mississauga South PC Hold 65.39 -0.30
 
 69.76 17.31 17.31
 
Mississauga West PC Gain 60.33 0.74 0.74
 
 46.21 21.10 21.1
 
Muskoka—Georgian Bay PC Gain 65.50 -2.15
 
 51.79 19.99 19.99
 
Nepean PC Gain 64.97 2.05 2.05
 
 49.66 19.13 19.13
 
Niagara Falls PC Gain 59.48 -3.90
 
 43.33 30.32 30.32
 
Niagara South PC Gain 60.14 -4.97
 
 38.24 21.42 21.42
 
Nickel Belt NDP Hold 64.70 -4.37
 
 46.54 -12.00
 
Nipissing PC Hold 63.68 -6.48
 
 60.48 14.63 14.63
 
Norfolk PC Gain 64.14 -3.81
 
 48.68 20.01 20.01
 
Northumberland PC Gain 67.13 0.21 0.21
 
 52.14 21.67 21.67
 
Oakville South PC Hold 71.08 4.36 4.36
 
 63.34 28.36 28.36
 
Oakwood Lib Gain 65.74 -1.94
 
 42.31 4.23 4.23
 
Oriole Lib Hold 68.39 2.26 2.26
 
 43.70 1.85 1.85
 
Oshawa PC Gain 57.66 5.67 5.67
 
 54.33 40.08 40.08
 
Ottawa Centre Lib Gain 63.88 -3.29
 
 39.26 0.98 0.98
 
Ottawa East Lib Hold 53.21 -2.02
 
 56.94 -5.47
 
Ottawa—Rideau PC Gain 61.29 1.33 1.33
 
 45.11 27.49 27.49
 
Ottawa South Lib Hold 66.51 -2.05
 
 53.35 7.48 7.48
 
Ottawa West Lib Hold 64.43 -1.25
 
 45.48 3.87 3.87
 
Oxford PC Gain 64.02 -3.63
 
 49.48 22.47 22.47
 
Parkdale Lib Hold 64.03 2.81 2.81
 
 47.87 1.47 1.47
 
Parry Sound PC Hold 63.57 -1.52
 
 65.47 21.69 21.69
 
Perth PC Gain 62.90 -3.34
 
 44.81 17.76 17.76
 
Peterborough PC Gain 66.23 -0.42
 
 52.66 31.45 31.45
 
Port Arthur Lib Gain 61.91 -0.32
 
 48.92 9.77 9.77
 
Prescott and Russell Lib Hold 56.64 -2.64
 
 55.68 -9.29
 
Prince Edward—Lennox—South Hastings PC Gain 60.04 -1.41
 
 49.61 19.71 19.71
 
Quinte PC Gain 58.79 -0.63
 
 47.28 27.66 27.66
 
Rainy River NDP Hold 63.98 -2.37
 
 39.93 -21.54
 
Renfrew North Lib Hold 61.00 -4.62
 
 53.32 10.00 10
 
Riverdale NDP Hold 64.66 2.21 2.21
 
 46.88 -15.09
 
St. Andrew—St. Patrick PC Gain 67.16 0.27 0.27
 
 40.43 9.58 9.58
 
St. Catharines Lib Hold 64.58 -2.19
 
 46.53 7.77 7.77
 
St. Catharines—Brock PC Gain 62.56 -3.29
 
 47.02 21.66 21.66
 
St. George—St. David PC Gain 70.61 5.98 5.98
 
 33.87 10.46 10.46
 
Sarnia PC Gain 61.31 -3.54
 
 33.81 12.62 12.62
 
Sault Ste. Marie NDP Hold 62.24 -6.01
 
 43.33 7.08 7.08
 
Scarborough—Agincourt Lib Hold 61.37 -2.17
 
 46.08 1.77 1.77
 
Scarborough Centre PC Gain 63.35 -1.10
 
 45.88 25.04 25.04
 
Scarborough East PC Gain 64.69 1.22 1.22
 
 55.72 25.67 25.67
 
Scarborough—Ellesmere PC Gain 64.95 -1.84
 
 47.89 31.21 31.21
 
Scarborough North Lib Hold 58.67 0.82 0.82
 
 46.08 1.52 1.52
 
Scarborough West PC Gain 64.33 -0.89
 
 43.13 22.54 22.54
 
Simcoe Centre PC Gain 63.06 0.60 0.6
 
 58.25 34.17 34.17
 
Simcoe East PC Hold 66.52 -0.94
 
 60.97 21.32 21.32
 
Simcoe West PC Hold 63.01 -0.83
 
 68.24 31.75 31.75
 
S-D-G & East Grenville PC Hold 62.48 -3.29
 
 64.69 23.82 23.82
 
Sudbury Lib Gain 62.10 -4.47
 
 40.66 9.88 9.88
 
Sudbury East NDP Hold 62.30 -8.56
 
 37.09 -20.91
 
Timiskaming Lib Hold 64.13 -3.44
 
 46.78 4.49 4.49
 
Victoria—Haliburton PC Gain 66.16 -2.94
 
 68.42 42.78 42.78
 
Waterloo North PC Hold 62.32 0.30 0.3
 
 59.42 22.00 22
 
Welland-Thorold NDP Hold 65.22 -4.58
 
 42.71 -20.92
 
Wellington PC Hold 65.00 -1.45
 
 66.70 27.08 27.08
 
Wentworth East PC Gain 64.56 -2.26
 
 44.50 28.06 28.06
 
Wentworth North PC Gain 70.97 1.33 1.33
 
 55.65 29.71 29.71
 
Willowdale PC Hold 68.94 5.61 5.61
 
 53.99 18.79 18.79
 
Wilson Heights Lib Hold 62.76 -0.23
 
 44.64 0.37 0.37
 
Windsor—Riverside NDP Hold 54.02 -8.14
 
 45.70 -25.33
 
Windsor—Sandwich Lib Gain 50.11 -8.85
 
 47.12 6.82 6.82
 
Windsor—Walkerville Lib Gain 52.54 -7.20
 
 41.28 1.08 1.08
 
York Centre PC Gain 60.80 -1.05
 
 48.94 25.14 25.14
 
York East PC Gain 69.59 1.57 1.57
 
 41.65 14.78 14.78
 
York Mills PC Hold 69.31 1.01 1.01
 
 63.58 18.94 18.94
 
York—Mackenzie PC Gain 67.21 4.08 4.08
 
 58.33 24.52 24.52
 
York South NDP Hold 69.13 2.33 2.33
 
 41.24 -25.47
 
Yorkview Lib Gain 60.99 -0.12
 
 46.97 5.47 5.47
 

Analysis

[edit]
Party candidates in 2nd place[1]
Party in 1st place Party in 2nd place Total
PC Lib NDP
Progressive Conservative 67 15 82
Liberal 20 10 30
New Democratic 7 10 17
Independent 1 1
Total 28 77 25 130
Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party[1]
Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
█ Progressive Conservative 82 28 20
█ Liberal 30 77 23
█ New Democratic 17 25 87 1
█ Independent 1 20 20
█ Family Coalition 50 4
█ Green 15 16
█ Natural Law 12 32
█ Confederation of Regions 5
█ Libertarian 4 8
█ Freedom 4 4
█ Communist 3
Resulting composition of the 36th Legislative Assembly[1]
Source Party
PC Lib NDP Ind Total
Seats retained Incumbents returned 19 18 17 54
Open seats held 1 1 2
Seats changing hands Incumbents defeated 53 9 62
Open seats gained 7 2 9
Byelection gain held 2 2
Incumbent changing allegiance 1 1
Total 82 30 17 1 130

MPPs elected by region and riding

[edit]

Party designations are as follows:

  PC
  Liberal
  NDP

Byelections

[edit]

Due to resignations, five by-elections were held between the 1995 and 1999 elections.


Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC NDP Other
York South
May 23, 1996 		Gerard Kennedy
7,774 		Rob Davis
5,093 		David Miller
6,656 		David Milne (Ind)
151
George Dance (Lbt)
77
Kevin Clarke (Ind)
70 		Bob Rae
resigned February 29, 1996
Oriole
September 4, 1997 		David Caplan
9,954 		Barbara Greene
5,163 		Jim Kafieh
1,700 		Bernadette Michael (Ind)
132
Shelly Lipsey (G)
96 		Elinor Caplan
resigned May 5, 1997
Ottawa West
September 4, 1997 		Alex Cullen
11,438 		Chris Thompson
7,217 		Katrina Prystupa
2,573 		John Turmel (Ind)
201
Gene Villeneuve (G)
96 		Bob Chiarelli
resigned May 5, 1997
Windsor—Riverside
September 4, 1997 		Gary McNamara
8,494 		Fran Funero
3,028 		Wayne Lessard
9,308 		Steve Harvey (G)
329 		Dave Cooke
resigned May 5, 1997
Nickel Belt
October 1, 1998 		Frank Madigan
4,173 		Gerry Courtemanche
3,836 		Blain Morin
5,537 		Floyd Laughren
resigned February 28, 1998

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Summarized from "Data Explorer". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 15, 2022.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e f "1995 general election results". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
  2. ^ Bakan, Abigail (2003). "Ontario: Lessons of the Rise and Fall of Employment Equity Legislation from the Perspective of Rights Advocacy". ResearchGate.
  3. ^ Representation Amendment Act, 1991, S.O. 1991, c. 2
  4. ^ Representation Amendment Act, 1993, S.O. 1993, c. 6
  5. ^ Representation Amendment Act, 1993 (No. 2), S.O. 1993, c. 30
  6. ^ "Harris confident he'll become premier after today's vote: Poll shows Tories holding lead in final week with NDP in third". The Globe and Mail. June 8, 1995. p. A13.
  7. ^ a b Campbell, Murray; Mittselstaedt, Martin (June 5, 1995). "Harris lays out legislative timetable: Polls suggest Tory majority". The Globe and Mail. p. A1.
  8. ^ "Tories ahead in new NDP poll: Liberal Party says it still has the lead". The Globe and Mail. May 16, 1995. p. A8.
  9. ^ Rusk, James (May 24, 1995). "Tories' rise pleases Rae: Poll indicates sharp Grit fall". The Globe and Mail. p. A1.
  10. ^ Rusk, James (May 15, 1995). "Race watchers hope debate will jolt yawners: Many voters delay final choice because they already know which party they don't want". The Globe and Mail. p. A10.
  11. ^ a b Mittelstaedt, Martin (April 29, 1995). "Rae calls June 8 Ontario election: Raucous campaign predicted as parties face quirky voters seeking solutions on jobs, deficit". The Globe and Mail. p. A1.
  12. ^ Rusk, James (April 1, 1995). "NDP hastens to exploit opportunity offered by McLeod". The Globe and Mail. p. A7.
  13. ^ "Liberals keep lead in polls". The Globe and Mail. January 26, 1995. p. A6.
  14. ^ a b "NDP slumps to third spot, survey shows: Advisers finger auto insurance, Sunday shopping and Martel scandal for slide in popularity". The Globe and Mail. July 7, 1992. p. A6.
  15. ^ Allen, Gene (September 3, 1991). "Ontario New Democrats take stock". The Globe and Mail. p. A4.
  16. ^ "NDP support up sharply, poll finds". The Globe and Mail. January 19, 1991. p. A4.
  17. ^ Allen, Gene (October 24, 1990). "Will hold NDP to its promises, Nixon pledges: Vows Liberals won't be obstructive". The Globe and Mail. p. A8.
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